| Gurcharan
Das
Magazine Articles
Guest Column for Outlook’s Independence
Day issue (August 2006)
Let our cities reflect the spirit of a new age.
By Gurcharan Das
Words: 1150
When I heard two weeks ago that one Sanjay Singal,
chairman of Bhushan Power and Steel, had bought
a one acre plot on 4 Amrita Shergill Marg in
New Delhi for Rs 137 crores, I wanted to rush
up to him and say to him, ‘Now that you
have one of India’s most prized properties,
do select a great architect to build your home.
For god’s sake, let’s not have another
cut-and-paste job. Your building ought to symbolise
the rise of a new age in India after the reforms,
and millions will remember you for having captured
a great moment in our history.’ For good
architecture has the amazing ability to represent
the life of the times in our imagination.
This issue of Outlook is about the way “the
world looks at India”, and one of the
most potent ones is visual memory. A great nation
or city is defined by its buildings. We remember
Paris not only by the Eiffel Tower, but by the
wonderful boulevard buildings of Baron Haussmann.
We think of New York by the Empire State and
the Chrysler buildings (although my favourite
is Mies’ Seagrams building). Sydney has
its exciting Opera House. Although Seattle’s
signature is the Space Needle, etched in my
memory is Rem Koolhaas’ public library.
There is even a city which was ‘created’
by a building— Frank Gehry’s Guggenheim
Museum is rightly called the ‘miracle
of Bilbao’, which put this unknown city
in northeast Spain on the world map. These visuals
symbols are not just symbols of man’s
quest for beauty, they also reflect the spirit
of an age.
It is fifteen years since the golden summer
of 1991 when we lost our innocence and with
it our fear of the global economy, and began
our affair with the free market. It has been
a remarkable period which has spawned world
class companies and made us one of the world’s
fastest growing economies. Time, the Economist,
and Foreign Affairs recently did cover issues
on this ‘rise of India’. Yet if
you think about it, we don’t have a single
visual image which celebrates this new age with
its spirit of economic freedom and the unshackling
of the energies of the Indian people, and in
parenthesis, the slow decline of the old bureaucratic
state.
Certainly, we do have some powerful visual
reminders of our great cities. When you think
of Mumbai, you think of the Gateway of India
(although VT station is what I think of). Delhi
has Qutub Minar, Humayun’s Tomb, India
Gate, and a host of visual symbols. But these
are images of our colonial and pre-colonial
past. The first and last visual moment of post-Independence
India was in the mid-1950s when Jawaharlal Nehru,
with plenty of vision and courage, commissioned
Le Corbusier to design Chandigarh. Swadeshi
voices were raised even then—‘why
can’t an Indian architect do it? But Nehru
had little patience for petty minds with their
petty complexes, and he stood firm. He may have
been the victim of bad economic ideas like ‘import
substitution’ but his mind was as open
as Rabindranath Tagore’s when it came
to the world.
The civilized merchant prince, Vikram Sarabhai,
supported Nehru’s bold approach and he
invited Corbusier to design a house for his
family in Ahmedabad. During this fertile period
in Ahmedabad, the great Louis Kahn built the
campus of the Indian Institute of Management
and Ray and Charles Eames were associated with
the National School of Design. Thus, two geographies
of contemporary India entered the history of
world architecture, Chandigarh and Ahmedabad.
Corbusier went on to inspire a generation of
great architects—B.V. Doshi, Charles Correa,
and many others.
Chandigarh is by now the memory of an age gone
by. The city captured our utopian, post-Independence
dreams of socialism, secularism and democracy,
and more importantly our faith in the state’s
ability to do good. By the seventies, however,
Indira Gandhi had perverted these ideals and
socialism had turned into a statist Licence
Raj and democracy was almost extinguished by
the Emergency. Our mood of despair finally lifted
with the announcement of sweeping liberalisation
in July 1991. It was as though our second independence
had arrived: we were going to be free from a
rapacious and domineering state. A new stage
in our history had begun with a decisive shift
in country’s energy to the private sector.
So now, when Infosys, Wipro or TCS puts up
a new building, it should ask itself, if what
goes on inside is world class, shouldn’t
the outside reflect this achievement? The same
responsibility devolves upon our other globally
competitive companies like Bharti, Bharat Forge,
Jet Airways, ICICI Bank. Come to think of it,
if Sir Norman Foster could design the Hong Kong
airport and Renzo Piano the Kansia airport in
Osaka, why don’t we have great architects
design our new airports in Delhi and Mumbai?
The responsibility for ‘dreaming Chandigarhs’
has now fallen on the business class, particularly
on builders like DLF, Mittals and Rahejas.
Just before Sanjay Singal bought his acre in
Lutyens Delhi, Navin Jindal had paid Rs 165
crores to buy 3.8 acres on Mansingh Road. At
these prices one can now afford to bring in
a Renzo Piano, Frank Gehry, Richard Meier or
even I.M. Pei. A good place to start looking
for a great architect is among the 27 recipients
of the annual Pritzker Prize, architecture’s
equivalent of the Nobel Prize, but there are
many more to choose from.
It is time we took our cities seriously. They
have unbelievable energy; they are crowded;
but they can be beautiful. The word ‘city’
is related to ‘civic’ and ‘civilization’,
and the city is a place of civilization. Some
Indians have a prejudice against urban towers,
which is understandable for a typical glass
and steel tower is aggressive, arrogant and
black, and it is trying to say, ‘I am
more powerful than you’. But when someone
like Renzo Piano thinks of urban towers, he
thinks of San Gemignano, and a ‘desire
to go up, to breathe fresh air, to disappear
into the sky…it is not a bad idea to go
up in dense cities.’
A hundred years from now the world will remember
the first quarter of the 21st century not for
9/11 as many Americans believe, but for the
rise of China and India. It is as important
a moment in world history as the Renaissance
and the Industrial Revolution. Kenneth Clarke
reminds us: ‘A great historical episode
can exist in our imagination almost entirely
in the form of architecture. Very few of us
have read the texts of early Egyptian literature.
Yet we feel we know those infinitely remote
people almost as well as our immediate ancestors,
chiefly because of their sculpture and architecture.’
So, let’s return the compliment to liberalization
by putting up some great buildings and make
something out of our cities that will live after
us.
------
Gurcharan Das is the author of India Unbound
and other books. He was formerly CEO of Procter
and Gamble India.
India’s
law and China’s order
The Financial Times
The Chinese premier’s recent
visit to India was a good thing because it took
our minds off Pakistan, even for a fleeting
weekend. We really must learn to ignore Pakistan
and heed China. If Pakistan pulls us down into
an abyss of terrorism and identity politics,
China will lift us up, I think, firing our ambition
for better roads, schools and health centres.
I used to either admire or fear China, but now
I am more relaxed. Both our economies are among
the world’s fastest, and both are on the verge
of solving their age-old economic problem. China’s
success is induced by the state, however, whereas
India’s is due to its private economy. Although
slower, India’s path may, in fact, be more suited
to its temperament.
Our different pasts explain a great deal about
us. In the last 100 years China suffered devastating
violence while India was spoiled by amazing
peace. China’s 20th century opened with the
ravages of warlords; the Nationalists followed
with their butchery in the twenties. Japan’s
invasion of Manchuria in the thirties made our
British Raj look angelic. In the forties came
Mao’s massacres as Communists took power. Mao’s
ambitions sacrificed 35 million in the Great
Leap Forward in the fifties and brought more
misery during the Cultural Revolution. It was
not until 1978 that the Chinese breathed easy,
and then they went on to create the most amazing
spectacle of economic growth.
Saints, on the other hand, created India (in
Andre Malraux’s words) and this happened in
the shadows of Hitler, Stalin and Mao. Not only
did we escape the World Wars, but we became
free without shedding an ounce of blood, thanks
to Mahatma Gandhi. Yes, half a million died
in the Partition riots, but it was not state
sponsored violence. Because we were addicted
to peace, I think, we created the world’s largest
democracy. Although Nehru’s socialism slowed
us down for three decades, we did not wipe out
our private economy with its invaluable institutions
of corporate law and the stock market. So, when
we broke free from our socialist shackles we
had this advantage over China.
This explains why India’s recent economic success
is driven by its entrepreneurs. The best thing
that its government is doing is to slowly get
out of their way through its reforms program.
India is spawning highly competitive private
companies, such as Reliance, Jet Airways, Infosys,
Wipro, Ranbaxy, Bharat Forge, Tata Motors, Moser
Baer and Hindalco. China’s government, on the
other hand, is suspicious of its entrepreneurs.
Only 10% of China’s banking credit goes to the
private sector, although it employs 40%.
Nothing quite illustrates the difference between
India and China as their approach to the English
language. While many states in India are still
debating if English ought to be taught in primary
schools despite huge popular pressure from parents,
the Chinese government has decided to make every
Chinese literate in English by the 2008 Olympics.
It seems bizarre that India, whose success in
the global economy derives from its facility
with English, should remain hostage to the deep
insecurities of its vernacular chauvinists.
As for the Chinese, I am confident they will
win plenty of medals, but I don’t think learning
English will be quite as easy. Even though I
cannot help but admire their ambition, I console
myself that India has been spared their earlier
ambitions at social engineering, notably the
Cultural Revolution.
Because India’s government is ambivalent, the
market is solving peoples’ enormous appetite
for English. Thousands of English teaching shops
and schools have mushroomed. Unlike my generation,
today’s young think of English as a skill, like
learning Windows. Their minds are ‘decolonized’
and to them English is one of India’s many languages.
They are quite comfortable mixing English with
Hindi words in a fashionable mix called Hinglish,
which has become increasingly pan-India’s street
language. Advertisers, in particular, have been
surprised by the terrific resonance of slogans
such as Coke’s ‘Life ho to aise or Pepsi’s ‘Dil
mange more’. David Crystal, author of the Cambridge
Encyclopaedia of the English Language, claims
that India may already have the largest number
of English speakers in the world.
India’s public debate over teaching English
in primary schools seems inconceivable in China.
Nor will India grow at eight percent (versus
six) because it has too much law and not enough
order, too much democracy and not enough governance.
If it came to a trade-off, however, I don’t
know anyone in India who would give up democracy
for a two-percentage points higher growth rate,
even though it might put us twenty years ahead.
We have waited 3000 years for this moment–to
wipe out poverty–and we would rather wait another
20 years if necessary, and do it in our own
way with democracy. And frankly, life is more
than just a race between China and India.
Mr. Das, former CEO of Procter & Gamble
India, is the author of India
Unbound (Profile Books, 2002).
A
WINNING STRATEGY FOR POST-REFORM INDIA
Outlook
The truth is that a decade after the reforms
most Indian companies are floundering. With
a couple of dozen exceptions the vast majority
has failed to become truly competitive. Our
companies have still not acquired the confidence
or the skills to succeed in the global economy.
Most continue with a “factory mindset” when
the industrial age is disappearing. Most sell
cheap, shoddy products.
It has become increasingly clear that a definite
divide has emerged in Indian business. And it
is not the divide between the so-called “new”
and “old” economy companies. It is between those
companies who have a clear strategy and are
quietly building competitiveness and those that
are not.
The best Indian companies have been re-inventing
themselves, building on their strengths, investing
in talent and technology, and approaching the
type of competitiveness achieved more broadly
by Korea and Taiwan. Reliance and Hindalco are
two outstanding examples. Those who think that
Indian brands are disappearing should note that
Titan watches are stronger after the entry of
Timex. Maruti may have lost market share, but
it is putting up a good fight and becoming innovative.
BPL, Videocon and Onida are holding their own
in colour TVs, despite the entry of global players.
Bajaj may be struggling, but this has more to
do with a shift in the market than competition.
Even Thums Up is well and alive within the coke
stable. Taj and Oberoi continue to expand their
world-class hotel chains.
There are only three ways that a company can
create sustainable competitive advantage. It
can compete on the basis of superior costs or
superior products or superior service. There
is no fourth way. I find that most Indian companies
are still following the cost/price strategy.
This is a vulnerable approach—for example, when
the neighbouring country devalues, your cost
advantage disappears overnight, as we learned
painfully during the East Asian crisis.
Indian companies have many failings—they are
short term; they try to do too many things and
lack focus; they do not invest enough in improving
their employees or their products; they have
been unable to separate the business’ and the
family’s interests—but, I think, their biggest
failing is that they are following the wrong
strategy.
It is unrealistic to expect Indian companies
to become technology leaders. This is not because
Indian scientists are not capable, but because
Indian companies will take time to mobilise
the power of science and create a technology
driven culture. The companies of Korea and Taiwan
still do not have a technology edge. Eventually,
some will become innovation-driven, but it will
take us 10-15 years to get there after sustained
investments in R&D.
The right strategy for Indian companies is the
third--to differentiate themselves by offering
unparalleled service. This is a far cheaper
strategy than to invest in R&D or in cutting
prices. In the competitive global market, the
quality and price of most products have narrowed
to the point where it is only service that distinguishes
companies. A survey in the U.S. found that 68
per cent of customers are lost not because of
quality or price but because of service. Service
builds on the proven capability of Indian traders
in the competitive bazaar economy.
Anyone who has shopped in a sari store or eaten
in an Udipi restaurant knows the Indian traders'
ability to deliver superior service. The employee
in a typical sari store opens a hundred saris
within five minutes in an attempt to sell a
single one. Similarly, the waiter in a
typical restaurant or dhaba delivers the customer's
thali in two minutes. Among larger companies,
HDFC and Sundaram Finance are good examples
of superior service. Everyone recalls the positive
experience of dealing with HDFC for a housing
loan. The legendary loyalty of truck customers
to Sundaram Finance is based on excellent service.
Commitment to a service strategy means that
you hire new employees on the basis of their
attitude and train them on skills. Most companies
do the opposite. No matter which of the three
strategies you adopt, however, you have to deliver
a threshold level of quality, price, and service
in order to exist. But in order to gain advantage
over others, you must choose one and stay with
it.
A strategy based on superior service can be
especially powerful where the value added is
high. Superior service delivered by highly trained
“knowledge” workers—scientists, engineers, market
researchers, salesmen—provides a powerful insulation
against competition. Not only can knowledge
workers harness the power of information technology,
they can also be trained to benchmark their
deliverables against competition and against
customers’ needs.
Creating
competitive advantage takes years of painstaking
effort and few Indian companies have had the
patience or the inclination to do so.
It requires the ability of the top management
to penetrate into the messy details of the business,
without losing sight of the big picture.
Most Indian businesses have found themselves
hopelessly unequal to this task. Until 1991,
they could blame the Socialist Raj. Now, a decade
after the reforms, they have no one but themselves
to blame.
THE
‘CAN CAN’ TWIRL
Outlook, Aug
15, 2003
A
resident of Vadapalani Road in Chennai wrote
to me last year to say, “Our street used to
be one big garbage dump. The bin outside our
home was always overflowing because the corporation
van did not often show up. My neighbour in frustration
used to set the garbage on fire, but the smoke
irritated my asthma and I would douse it with
water. So, we began to quarrel and we fought
all the time.
“But
one morning the dustbin suddenly disappeared
and a brightly painted cart stood at my door
with a boy in uniform and gloves. Called the
‘street beautifier’, he taught us to separate
our garbage at home. Each morning he would empty
the organic waste into the green section of
his cart and the recyclable waste into the red
section. When he had covered the street, he
would take the cart to our Zero Waste Centre,
and empty the organic waste into a storage tank
that had holes at the bottom and where it got
converted to compost. He would sell the recyclables
and the compost to augment his income. I have
to pay Rs 20 a month for this, but our street
is now spotlessly clean, and where there was
garbage outside each home, we have now planted
trees.”
All
this happened, she told me, because residents
of Vadlapani Road decided to form an Exnora
Club. Started by M.B. Nirmal, a bank manager,
the Exnora civic movement has been so successful
that it has rapidly spread across the entire
South, and now covers 40 per cent of Madras
city, 75 per cent of its suburbs and has clubs
across Tamilnadu and the three southern states.
Its 17,000 street chapters provide clean, scientific
garbage collection to approximately 17 lakh
homes. Having realised their collective negotiating
power, many clubs have begun to solve other
civic problems, such as sewage, street lighting,
and water supply through their municipality.
Hence, Exnora was recognised by the United Nations
Conference on Human Settlements in 1996 as one
of 100 Best Urban Practices around the world.
The story of Exnora is
not unique. It is one of hundreds of examples
of a new India that began to emerge in the
nineties, and I think it happened because
we broke decisively with the old dogmas of
the ancien regime, shedding our earlier
rigidities of the mind, as we discovered a
new view of ourselves and of the world. This
change in mindset more than anything can help
to unravel the behaviour that underlies the
theme of this special Outlook issue.
We were liberated politically,
economically, and socially in the nineties
in India, but the biggest change by far has
been in our minds. Politically, we were freed
from the rule of a single party—nay, from
the dynastic rule of a family; but more importantly,
power has increasingly begun to filter downwards
to the states and to the villages, as local
self-government (“panchayati raj”) has slowly
become a reality. Economically, liberalisation
began to free us day by day from the heavy
hand of bureaucrats and politicians. Socially,
the lower castes have continued to rise through
the ballot box and growing literacy. In Bihar
and Uttar Pradesh, the newfound freedom is
palpable in the body language of the Yadavs
and other backward castes.
The profoundest change,
however, has been mental and the young have
led the charge. Our minds have become decolonised,
and there is a new feeling of confidence in
the air. Gone are many of our inhibitions
and hang-ups of the past. Economists and businessmen
instinctively understand the value of confidence
in entrepreneurial success and in creating
a climate for investment. Historians also
understand the power of confidence in national
success, and they point to examples in Roman
history and Japan’s success after the 1868
Meiji reforms. We have begun to observe some
of this self-assurance in India since the
nineties.
I don’t think we know why
this has happened. Perhaps, it is the impact
of television, especially with the advent
of competitive cable TV. Perhaps, it is due
to the reforms, which have been reducing the
intrusive power of the state in our lives,
making us begin to rely on ourselves. What
we do see is lots of young Indians moving
about in all manner of new ways, with a “can
do” attitude that doesn’t need approval from
others, especially from the West. People have
begun to speak on these cable channels in
a curious mixture of English and Hindi in
a most relaxed manner, and they call it Hinglish.
Pop stars like Daler Mehndi and A.R. Rehman
display an exuberant nonchalance, as do the
new young Bollywood heroes. So did new fiction
writers in English, the designers of fashion
clothes, the beauty queens and the cricket
stars.
Making money became increasingly
a legitimate route to success in the nineties,
as we lost our earlier hypocrisy towards wealth.
All sorts of unlikely people began to take
risks with their savings, either by starting
new businesses or on the stock market. There
was a flowering of entrepreneurship since
no one needed a licence to get started, and
the discourse in India gradually began to
shift from politics to economics. The business
pages of newspapers became livelier; chief
ministers in the states scrambled for private
investment; judges became more even-handed
in industrial disputes and no longer assumed
that capital must always exploit labour. Even
trade union leaders began to rethink their
mission.
Our changed attitude to English, I think,
best explains this new mindset. When I was
growing up it mattered far more how you spoke
than what you said, and you could get away
with rubbish as long as you said it in the
right accent. Today, young Indians in
the new middle class think of English as a
skill, like Windows or learning to write an
invoice: “I need to answer my customer in
Hungary and my supplier in Taiwan, so I have
to know English.” And this is why Hinglish
is spreading. Encouraged by Zee, Sony and
Star TV, and supported by their advertisers,
the newly emerging middle classes avidly embrace
this uninhibited hybrid of Hindi and English,
and this popular idiom of the bazaar is rushing
down the socio-economic ladder. The purists
naturally disapprove, but most of us are more
comfortable and accepting of it today. This
is because we are more relaxed and confident
as a people, realising that this is how languages
evolve. Over the decades we have learned painfully
that it is often better to go with the tide
than to impose one’s will--all those damaging
experiments in Bengal, Gujarat and other states,
which deleted English from the school syllabus,
have been quietly rolled back.
Ever since the British left we have heard
constant complaining against the English language,
and then one day in the 1990s it suddenly
disappeared, and quietly, without ceremony
English became one of the Indian languages.
English lost its colonial stigma, oddly enough,
around the time that the Hindu nationalists
came to power. Hindi protagonists lost steam
because they lost their convictions--their
own children wanted to learn English. Based
on present trends India will become the largest
English-speaking nation in the world by 2010,
overtaking the United States, according to
the English linguist, David Dalby, the author
of Linguasphere Register of the World’s
Languages and Speech-Communities. Dalby
predicts that India will then become “the
centre of gravity of the English language”.
Thus, it would seem just as intrusive to want
to remove English from India today, as it
was to introduce it during the time of Rammohun
Roy and Macaulay.
Beyond language, I also think young Indians
are more willing today to face life as it
is and see it without the gloss of religion.
They are less willing to evade life. The old
Hindu-Buddhist idea that ‘life is suffering’
no longer resonates. Like all the other evasions,
religion is fading in their lives. Life contains
none of the qualities traditionally described
by religion. But modern life too, they realise,
is difficult to exult over. So, they are ready
to put up a fight against all odds--against
dowry, insolent bureaucrats, greedy businessmen--and
even if they don’t win, the struggle affirms
them. Even in defeat it is the struggle that
matters. Let me conclude this enterprise on
a sceptical note, however. One ought to be
careful (and humble) in making statements
about national character for these generalisations
are inevitably over-simplifications of a complex
reality, and end in stereotypes. Especially
when one is talking about an infuriatingly
diverse country like India—no matter what
one says about it, the opposite also holds
true. Hence, we get rubbish such as Nirad
Chaudhari’s Continent of Circe or Naipaul’s
An Area of Darkness--both books filled
with wonderful insights yet in the end so
wrong in the way they distorted rather than
uncovered reality.
This is why I feel more comfortable with the
economist’s explanation of change. Marcur
Olson and others who look to institutional
change to explain behaviour would say that
the many liberations and the new energy we
are seeing in India is the result of a gradual
reform of our statist and socialist institutions
of the Licence Raj. They would argue that
Indians are simply responding to the new incentive
systems created by the reforms and learning
to depend less on the state and more on themselves.
And this simple explanation of our confident
new mindset is a good reason, I expect, to
support wholeheartedly the whole enterprise
of economic reform.
IS
INDIA REALLY
SHINING?
The Economic Times,
30, Dec 2003
Indians have good reasons
to feel confident. Our economy has grown 5.9
percent per year since 1980, making it the
fifth fastest growing major economy in the
world over a 23 year period; this is not a
case of one swallow making a summer. We may
be well behind China, but remember that the
West created its Industrial Revolution at
a 3 percent growth rate over 100 years. More
recently, our population growth has begun
to slow, and in 1998 it was down to 1.7 percent
compared to its historic 2.2 percent growth
rate. Literacy has also begun to climb—it
reached 65 percent in 2000 compared to 52
percent in 1990, with the biggest gains taking
place among women and the backward states.
More than 200 million Indians have risen out
of destitution since 1980 as the poverty ratio
has declined to 26 percent. And we may have
finally found our competitive advantage in
our booming software and IT services. Finally,
all this has happened amidst the most appalling
governance; imagine, what might happen if
governance improved.
If our economy continues
to grow at this rate for the next three decades—and
there is no reason why it should not—then
the majority of the people in half our states
should be middle class in the first quarter
of the century and the other states should
get there in the second quarter. At that point
poverty will not vanish, but the poor will
come down to a manageable ten percent of the
population, and the politics of the country
will also change.
I travelled widely across
India in 1995 and discovered that the nation’s
mindset had changed in the nineties, especially
of the young, whose minds had become decolonised.
This became one of the premises of my book,
India Unbound, and I felt this mental
liberation would be a powerful force in national
regeneration. I also wrote that for all Indians
to benefit from our recent prosperity we needed
to reform agriculture and education. We are
on the verge of a second green revolution,
which like the first one will be labour intensive
and will be based on a technological breakthrough
(this time, on the new GM seeds.) For that
to happen we need extensive agricultural reforms
and move away from peasant farming to agribusiness.
Equally, we must drastically improve our government
schools in order to offer some hope of equality
of opportunity.
Our
national weakness is governance. We have to
recognise that our past failures were due
less to ideology and more to poor management.
Hence, we have to focus on the reform of our
institutions more than even of policies. This
is a much tougher job. Let’s take heart from
the institutions that do work—Indians admire
the armed forces, the Supreme Court, the Reserve
Bank and the Election Commission. (Curiously,
except the Election Commission, these are
the same institutions that Americans admire
most in their country.) So, it is possible
to have good institutions in India. If we
can reform telecom we should also be able
to do the same with our institutions of electric
power. India Shining will have a hollow ring
unless we sustain vigorous reform of our institutions,
including the control our disgraceful fiscal
deficit.
National confidence is a good thing; it makes
ordinary people do extraordinary things. Ask
a historian of Rome, and he will testify to
its amazing power. Or of post-Meiji Japan,
or 19th century Britain, or even
current day China—they will all bear witness.
Ask a CEO and he will tell you that a sustained
positive feeling among employees often separates
success from failure. To be sustained, however,
confidence has to be based on performance,
not on bombast. Also, confidence can easily
degenerate into chauvinism, arrogance and
militarism, and these are bad things. Finally,
the truly confident know they are good; they
are ‘quietly confident’ and don’t need to
proclaim it in ‘India Shining’ campaigns.
To
India’s entire political class Brutus’ famous
words in Julius Caesar (about ‘a tide
in the affairs of men’) should be a
timely warning: that we stand at a crucial
moment in our history when the stars appear
to be on our side. If we do not seize the
moment and improve our governance and accelerate
the reforms, then history will not forgive
us.
PRIVATE
SECULARISM!
Outlook,
12 Apr, 2004
“The
country with the most impressive and intelligent
secularist movement is India,” wrote Christopher
Hitchens in the respected journal, Daedalus,
last summer. Hitchens is a public intellectual
who is read and listened to with some admiration
on both sides of the Atlantic. He did not
explain, but I think what he meant is that
Indian secularism has acquired many voices
and it seems to be maturing.
It
is sobering to remember, however, that Indian
secularism was unable to stop the murderous
carnage in Gujarat, which may have receded
in public memory by the good cheer from a
rapidly growing economy and an approaching
election, but still remains a blot. There
is a change, nevertheless, in the rhetoric
of the political class this time. Amidst the
usual scramble for seats and alliances there
is healthy silence on religion. The turning
point seems to have been the four state elections
in November and December, and every politician
who has been interviewed in the past eight
weeks has talked about “bijlee, sadak, pani”.
Our fondest hope, of course, is that these
three words will replace “mandir, masjid,
and mandal” in our political lexicon, and
when that happens we may be looking at the
most dramatic change in the Indian political
mindset in decades. Clearly, it is too early
to proclaim that victory.
Coming back to Indian secularism, it is
important to ask why it has failed to stem
the rising tide of intolerance in recent
years? And the reason, I suspect, is that
it is identified in the public mind with
atheism. It is true that many of our most
vocal secularists were Marxists and they
did not value the religious life. In a well-meaning
effort to limit religion to the private
life they behaved as though all religious
people were superstitious and stupid. This
naturally didn’t go well with the majority
of Indians who are deeply religious and
suspicious of godless, westernised, brown
sahibs telling them what to do. Our secularists
were also statist, thinking that the state
could reform society and religion, which
is again arrogant and foolish for genuine
reform must emerge from within society.
Moreover, our secularists forgot that the
truly religious are usually deeply secular.
Thus, what has failed is not the noble philosophy
of secularism but its practice in India,
and in the meantime, intolerant fundamentalists
have filled the vacuum.
Partially as a reaction to this failure
a new generation of secularists have come
to prominence in the past 15 years, and
this is what Christopher Hitchens has in
mind. The change began when Ashis Nandy
first assaulted the old, orthodox, Nehruvian
secularists with his critique of the European
modernity in the mid-1980s. He promoted
a return to tradition, wherein we might
find the roots of a religious tolerance
of a different kind, which might better
resonate with the masses than the hegemonic
language of Western secularism. A year later,
T.N. Madan, the distinguished sociologist,
wrote that secularism was having a problem
in India because the realms of the sacred
and secular continued to be deeply intertwined
in Indian tradition. Secularism would only
succeed in India if we understood it to
mean inter-religious understanding and an
equality of citizenship rights; he added
that we should “take both religion and secularism
seriously, and not reject the former as
superstition and the latter as a mask for
communalism and or more expediency.”
This attack did not go well with the Nehruvian
secularists, who roundly chastised Nandy
and Madan for feeding into the hands of
the Hindu nationalists. In the early nineties,
Partha Chatterjeee, the eminent social scientist
at Columbia University, questioned if secularism
was, in fact, the right way to stop Hindu
majoritarianism. The Hindu right, he argued
was perfectly comfortable with the institutional
processes of the modern state, and the main
issue was not ideology, he felt, but to
protect the cultural rights of the minorities,
and this could best be done through toleration
“premised on autonomy and respect for persons…but
made sensitive to the varying political
salience of the institutional contexts.”
Neera Chandoke, the political scientist
at JNU, responded by arguing that the concept
of toleration was not enough and that minorities
needed supportive structures in order to
protect their cultural identity. The writer,
Mukul Kesavan, and others rightly worry,
however, that this sort of thinking will
only delay the day when we might call ourselves
equal and common citizens of one state.
Rajeev Bhargava, the editor of an excellent
volume of essays on Indian secularism, distinguishes
between political and ethical secularism,
and says that to exist in a more liveable
polity, we as citizens need to agree to
what is right rather than what is good.
Let’s just be content with living together,
rather than living together well (which
is, of course, another project, and a valid
one too.)
So, how do we begin to privatise religion?
The answer, I think, lies with the deeply
religious but moderate voices in each religion’s
mainstream, who must come forward and proclaim
once again that true religion has nothing
to do with political life. The failure of
our contemporary public life is that we
do not hear these voices, but only hear
the shrill voices of extremists at both
ends. It was not always so. Earlier, we
had sensible public figures who were also
deeply religious. Mahatma Gandhi, Maulana
Azad, Vivekananda used to speak with credibility
on behalf of the vast majority of religiously
minded Indians. Today, what we have is an
unfortunate polarization between an influential
and articulate minority of secularists and
the vast majority of silent, religiously
minded Indians. Neither takes the trouble
to understand the other, and what we have
as a result is a dialogue of the deaf. We
need to hear the many reasonable voices
of good sense within the Hindu and Muslim
religious communities, surely, there must
be a few courageous individuals who will
speak up before their faith is totally hijacked
by the terrorists!
Following Rajeev Bhargava, our secularists
should learn from the American philosopher,
John Rawls, and distinguish between public
reason and secular reason. While public
reason limits itself to political and civic
principles, secular reason is broader and
deals with a secular person’s moral doctrines
and first philosophy. Our secularists need
to be aware of this distinction and refrain
from introducing secular values and secular
reason into political debate. This is not
easy to do, I realise, because liberal political
values are intrinsically moral values and
closely intertwined with moral doctrines.
Above all, let’s learn from our own Emperor
Ashoka, who ruled when Hindus and Buddhists
were fighting each other in mid-third century
BCE, and who declared in his famous Edict
XII, “The sects of other people deserve
reverence…By thus acting, a man exalts his
own sect, and at the same time does service
to the sects of other people…He who disparages
the sects of others…inflicts the severest
injury on his own sect.” Here is a wonderful
insight for our times: you damage your own
religion when you malign another’s and secularism
is not only good for governance but also
for religion. Those who call for a Hindu
nation not only harm the nation, they also
damage Hinduism.
INDIA SHINING (1984
– 2004), RIP?
Outlook, 12
Jul 2004
It
is no use pretending. While the last general
election brought some good news--especially,
a well deserved slap to Narendra Modi’s
fascist face—it also brought bad news. The
hugely positive global sentiment in favour
of India that had prevailed until mid May
has received a setback. The clearest example
is the dramatic slowdown in the growth in
the nation’s reserves. Until the week ended
May 7, reserves had been growing at the
rate of US $750 million a week. This accretion
to reserves had diminished to less than
US $100 million a week. The rupee has also
reversed its appreciating trend. Although
this may, in fact, be good for exports,
but the currency trend combined with the
stock market crash demonstrates that sentiment
has changed, and if this is not reversed
quickly it will hurt new private investment
in the economy, and longer term growth,
competitiveness, and jobs.
Sentiments are fragile and often irrational,
but they do matter. Entrepreneurs invest
when they are feeling good and stop investing
when doubts creep in. This is what has happened
in India. Doubts have crept in, and the
self-confidence that had fuelled investment
during the past nine months has largely
evaporated. Both Indian and foreign investors
have once again begun to have doubts about
India as a worthy destination for investment.
Thus P. Chidambaram faces a heroic task.
For no matter how much you tell investors
that the fundamentals of the economy have
not changed—that it is still the same sound
economy as it was two months ago—market
sentiments have a life of their own, and
they do not always listen to reason.
Although the left tends to dismiss it, national
confidence is a good thing. Ask any CEO
and he will tell you that a sustained positive
feeling among employees often separates
success from failure. Ask a historian of
Rome, and he will testify to its amazing
power. Or of 19th century Britain,
or Japan between 1960-1990, or even current
day China—they will all bear witness to
the clout of self-belief, which makes ordinary
people do extraordinary things. This confidence
has been jolted by this election.
Before
relegating “India Shining” to history’s
dustbin it is well to remember that it did
succeed in one space, and there it succeeded
spectacularly. The business class both in
India and abroad bought the idea that India
had become a serious player in the world
economy and was poised to make a leap forward.
This had generated tremendous excitement
in the corporate world, both in India and
abroad, and for almost a year I could feel
a palpable optimism in my interactions with
investors and business people. The offshoring
controversy in America may also have fuelled
it, and the foreign press certainly reinforced
it. From a land of snake charmers India
had suddenly become a serious competitor
for the white-collar jobs of the developed
world. I was abroad in February and March
this year and never have I seen such a spate
of positive views expressed by foreign commentators
about India.
Right
through the nineties, China had been the
big success story. Quietly over the past
couple years, however, India had somehow
crept onto the radar of global media. Hence,
during the past year every time China was
mentioned India’s name was attached to it.
Earlier this year the New York Times wrote
in a front page story that China and India
were going to write the script for the 21st
century. But the more cautious rendition
was usually “China and to lesser extent,
India” as the Economist put it. This positive
perception of India has diminished, if not
ceased entirely, ever since the stock market
crash. The Indian left may have contempt
for markets, but investors watch markets,
and since we are part of the global economy,
investor sentiment will determine investment,
growth, and jobs.
I
ask myself, why has this sentiment suddenly
changed when the fundamentals about our
economy are the same? In part, I think it
is because the Indian whining story has
also affected the business community, which
has concluded that India’s economic prospects
were perhaps never as rosy as they had been
led to believe. And the defeat of the BJP
has reinforced this perception. In the process
of trashing the BJP’s tall claims, the opposition
unintentionally ended in trashing India,
the country. Investors began to wonder if
the story of India’s prospects were a bunch
of tall claims, when the reality may have
been that it was still the same “under-achiever”
which the Economist has been portraying
for years. I don’t think that Congress meant
to trash the country, but this is how it
ended, and our country became the victim
of competitive democratic politics. Self-confidence
has always been lacking in our society,
especially in the business community. I
don’t know what and how long it will take
to rebuild it. We certainly have an outstanding
economic team in place today, but as I said
before, sentiment is irrational and elusive.
The
well intentioned Common Minimum Program
(CMP) of the new government probably did
more to kill this spirit than anything else.
The idea of reservations in the private
sector, when the prospect of labour reform
had died--this frightened managers who were
engaged in the hard day to day work of running
companies. As it is, they had to put up
with a sub-optimal work culture with endemic
absenteeism, and now this burden of reservations.
It is a future just too awful to contemplate!
Businessmen have repeatedly expressed the
view that they would happily pay to lift
the poor if they had the slightest faith
that the money would reach the poor. They
agreed that the best way to lift the poor
was through good primary schools and primary
health care. Hence, they didn’t mind the
proposed education cess. But they worried
about the condition of our municipal schools:
93 percent of Bengali primary schoolchildren
can’t write their names in Bangla; 30 percent
of teachers are absent in Bimaru states,
50 percent don’t teach and most beat their
pupils. Unless we first reform our schools
(by giving parents’ associations a voice,
for example, in the teacher’s pay) we would
only be wasting the nation’s hard earned
money. As it is, India spends around Rs
1 lakh crores on education (which is higher
than most countries as a percent of GDP),
but because of teacher absence and other
inefficiencies, a third is perhaps wasted.
That is a waste of Rs 30,000 crores!
“India shining” is a nice expression and
it’s a pity that it got mixed up with
politics. Since it is synonymous with
India’s economic success, not surprisingly
both the BJP and the Congress wanted to
take the credit. The BJP claimed that
its policies were responsible for the
past year’s fine performance and the changed
mood; the Congress argued that the economy
grew faster under their man, Narasimha
Rao. Both were right (and wrong). The
truth is that India’s economy has been
shining for two decades, growing around
6 percent a year, making it the fifth
fastest major economy in the world.
After stagnating for centuries, our economy
did finally pick up after Independence.
It grew 3.5 percent a year between 1950
and 1980; but our population also grew
2.2 percent; hence the net affect was
1.3 percent per capita income growth (3.5
minus 2.2)—this is what we mournfully
called “the Hindu rate of growth.” Things
began to change with modest liberalisation
in the eighties when annual GDP growth
rose to 5.8 percent while population growth
remained at 2.1 percent; thus, income
per capita moved up to a more respectable
3.7 percent. This happy trend continued
in the reforms decade of the nineties
when growth averaged 6.2 percent a year,
and population, in fact, slowed to 1.8
percent average; thus, per capita income
rose by a decent 4.4 percent a year.
What these numbers mean is that if our
per capita GDP had continued growing at
the pre-1980 level, then Indian incomes
would have reached current American per
capita income levels only by 2250. But
if our economy continues to grow at the
present 6 percent rate, and if population
grows at 1.5 percent, then we will reach
American income levels by 2066. This is
a gain of 216 years, and this is what
“India shining” really means. And it is
worth dying for! It means that it is finally
possible to believe that we shall soon
be able to conquer India’s age-old worry
over want and hunger.
It is easier to explain why India was
shining in the nineties. The brave reforms
of Narasimha Rao’s government opened our
economy, dismantled controls, lowered
tariffs and taxes and broke public sector
monopolies. And the economy responded
magnificently. But how does one explain
the pick-up in the 1980s? And here I think
we don’t give enough credit to Rajiv Gandhi.
He too opened the economy, albeit reticently
and modestly—lowering marginal taxes and
tariffs, removing the most irritating
import restrictions, and liberalised industrial
licensing through “broadbanding”. Although
modest, these efforts seem to have had
a bigger impact that even the sweeping
reforms of the 1990s. Bradford Delong,
an American economist, wrestles with this
puzzle in In Search of Prosperity:
Analtytic Narratives on Economic Growth,
edited by Dani Rodrik of Harvard. The
real miracle, however, is that all the
governments after Rao surprisingly continued
the reforms, albeit in a frustratingly
slow way. Yet this elephant-like pace
has made India one of the fastest growing
major economies in the world. So, the
lesson is that if you consistently reform
in one direction in a democracy, it adds
up. Since we haven’t had strong reformers
at the top, like Thatcher or Deng, is
it possible that the reform process has
become institutionalised?
This “adding up” over time has enhanced
our national confidence, and which to
my mind is central to the notion of “India
shining”. Thus, it is the Indian people
who are shining as they have overcome
all the obstacles put in their way by
self-serving bureaucrats, politicians,
monopolistic industrialists, left intellectuals
and labour leaders—in short, all the vested
interests of the Licence Raj. But for
all Indians to shine, we must begin
to seriously reform agriculture and education.
This ought to be the agenda of this government.
This election has reminded us that left’s
historic role is to make the right sensitive
to the needs of the poor and to humanize
capitalism in the process. Unfortunately,
our left is bankrupt in terms of ideas,
and thinks that throwing good money at
old problems will solve them. Moreover,
the left has not ditched its naïve faith
in state control when our nation is groaning
under the weight of red tape. This statism
makes the left look stupid. In the end,
the problems of India’s poor will not
be solved by ideology but by good implementation.
And this needs mental application. We
have to focus on the “how”, not the “what”.
It is easier to abuse the India’s bourgeoisie,
but more difficult to come up with real
answers to real problems.
Dear Prime Minister,
Like
it or not, India’s general elections have
become municipal elections. What matters
to the rickshawala is that the cops not
take away a sixth of his daily earnings.
The farmer wants a clear title to his
land without having to bribe the patwari.
The sick villager wants the doctor to
be there when she visits the primary health
center. The housewife doesn’t want the
water tap to go dry while she is washing.
This is how government touches ordinary
people’s lives, and in successful societies
people take these things for granted.
You might say that these are state and
local subjects, but to ordinary citizens
you are the face of the government and
they expect this from you. Moreover, the
Congress controls many states, municipalities
and panchayats. You can, at least, hold
them accountable.
Where
does the illness of governance lie? Why
don’t employees of the central, state,
and local governments do their jobs?
In the Far East, for example, citizens
get far better service. Is it because
we protect labour excessively in India,
to the point that they no longer feel
accountable? This was my experience in
the private sector, at least--our labour
laws have taken away accountability and
diminished our companies’ competitiveness.
Thus, you may have to tackle labour laws
despite your partners.
If
you buy my argument about governance then
your focus will shift from policy to implementation.
Hold your finance minister accountable
for the behaviour of income tax officers,
excise and custom inspectors. Judge you
home minister, for example, for eliminating
harassment of honest NGOs who get foreign
donations. Reward your economic ministers
for eliminating red tape--foreign investors
repeatedly tell us that they prefer China
over India because of our red tape. In
the end, even if you make a small but
perceivable difference, you will break
the “anti-incumbency factor”, which is
a code word for poor governance. If you
do not, then you will be asking for the
return of the BJP in 2009.
THIS
IS NOT ONLY AMERICA’S WAR
It
is more than a month since the short,
macabre dance of death in New York and
Washington changed the world. We are now
in the midst of a war, but many are uncomfortable
and ask who is America fighting? Some
are confused, and insistently ask why
were they made targets of the September
11 attacks? They also wonder why is America
disliked? And in this case, so hated that
a few young men were willing to defy the
basic human instinct for survival and
die for what they believed to be a worthwhile
cause.
I
shall attempt to answer these questions
from a non-American perspective. I live
in India, a country that has eagerly practiced
the same American liberal, democratic
ideals for a half century. But most Americans
are unaware that we in India have been
victims of Taliban trained terrorism for
more than a decade that has taken hundreds
of innocent lives. It is tragic irony
that faceless terrorists in Kashmir had
set September 11—-the same dreadful day--as
the deadline for what women could wear.
Tailors in the valley had been busy making
burqas for weeks. But an innocent 15-year-old
girl, whose tailor failed to meet the
deadline, found acid sprayed on her face
as she was rushing home from school. She
lost an eye and her pretty face was disfigured
for life.
Two
years ago Osama bin Laden announced from
his hideout in the mountains deserts of
Afghanistan, "India and America are
my biggest enemies and all mujahideen
groups in Pakistan should come together
to target them." Since then I have
wondered why he singled out India and
America as his targets.
It
is tempting to believe that India and
America are the prime targets of Osama
and the Taliban because they are open,
pluralistic, and liberal societies. They
are the two largest democracies in the
world. They have to constantly deal with
diverse minorities and they present a
constant challenge to fundamentalists,
who are more comfortable in monolithic
states with one religion, one language,
and one mind. (Indeed, both Hindu and
Muslim fundamentalists have this problem
in India.) Yet, I believe, it is simplistic
to blame democracy and the open society
alone for the September 11 suicide attacks
on America. If it were only a war against
freedom, as President Bush says, then
the Statue of Liberty would have been
the first target.
Indians have welcomed Bush’s global war
on terrorism partly because it has strengthened
our own government’s hand to fight terrorists
here. Maulana Masood Azhar is India’s
Osama bin Laden. He is the mastermind
of Jaish-e-Mohammad, a Pakistan based
terrorist group that claimed responsibility
for the suicide bombing in Srinagar which
killed 38 people three weeks after the
attacks in America. Indians were relieved
when America announced the freezing of
this group’s bank accounts because of
its links with Osama. Azhar believes in
jehad like Osama, and India needs to go
after him with the same vigor that America
is going after Osama.
Until America declared a war on terrorism,
the rapidly growing Indian middle class
had been resigned to live with terrorism.
It regards all forms of religious extremism
with disdain—as something divisive and
irrational that comes in the way of its
“rational” preoccupation with a rising
standard of living, upward mobility, and
the peaceful pursuit of electronic appliances.
The world has not realized how much India
has changed since the 1991 reforms. Its
economy has grown 6.4 percent a year for
a decade (and 7.5 percent for three years
in a row), making it one of the ten fastest
growing economies in the world. More recently,
population growth has begun to slow, and
in 1998 it was down to 1.7 percent compared
to an historic 2.2 percent growth rate.
Literacy has climbed to 65 percent compared
to 52 percent a decade ago, with women
and the backward states registering the
biggest gains. More than 120 million Indians
have pulled themselves out of poverty
in the past decade as the poverty ratio
has declined to 26 percent. And the nation
may have finally found its competitive
advantage in its booming software and
IT services. At this rate half of India
(that is, the west and the south) should
turn middle class by 2025, and India will
see its share of world product rise from
6 to 13 percent, making it the third largest
economy in the world.
This is the future that terrorism threatens
and this is why the Indian middle class
supports America’s war. However, many
Indians are offended by the America’s
historical indifference to non-American
lives. America has historically propped
up dictators in Latin America and backed
tyrants in Africa and Asia, and this has
led to the death of millions around the
world. I wonder if this disregard for
non-American lives explains why America
is so disliked around the world.
Then there is the usual anti-Americanism,
just as fashionable in our influential
left wing and academic circles as it is
in Europe and Latin America. These are
the same people who are against economic
globalization, technology, free capital
flows and foreign influences. They charge
that America is arrogant, hypocritical
and is exporting an unhealthy consumerist
way of life. However, this sort of anti-Americanism
does not resonate with the common person,
who loves the incredible achievements
of America’s scientists, artists, athletes,
filmmakers, and only last month was moved
by the courage of New York’s firemen and
rescue workers.
About
12 percent of India’s population is Islamic,
and they are more ambivalent about America’s
war. Our Muslims are more ready to argue
the Palestinian case, and believe that
America could have done more to restrain
Israel. They are upset that half a million
Iraqi children have died as a result of
American economic sanctions. They are
consumed by the irony that Taliban and
Osama bin Laden are America’s creation
from the cold war. We have a few Islamic
fundamentalists as well, but the truth
is that the average Indian Muslim is moderate
but confused about what is happening.
Hence, we have not seen Indian Muslims
protesting against this war.
Amidst
the confusion, uncertainty and fear--after
all, Afghanistan is almost our neighbor--ordinary
Indians understand that in the end this
is a war against fanaticism and terror,
and for civilized tolerance. They realize
that in all wars some innocent people
will be killed. But they also know from
unhappy experience that almost every victim
of terrorism is an innocent person. Thus,
this is not an American war. It is also
our war. But President Bush has to be
sensitive as he prosecutes it. He needs
to convince the world that non-American
lives are just as precious as American
ones. Otherwise, for all the good that
America will achieve, the world will continue
to dislike America.
WHO
IS AMERICA FIGHTING AND WHY?
It
is a month since the macabre dance of
death in New York and Washington and we
are now in the midst of a war, but I am
not sure that we understand what this
is all about. People around the world
are uncomfortable and insistently ask
whom is America fighting? Americans are
also confused. They want to know who are
their enemies and why do they hate us?
And hate so much that that a few young
men defied the instinct to live and died
for it. The trouble is that America is
at war against people it doesn’t know,
and having gone off to war, it can’t very
well return without having won it.
President Bush says that it is a war against
freedom. He says that democracy and the
American way of life is under attack.
In the present atmosphere of grief and
anger this is easy for Americans to accept.
But surely
it
doesn’t sound right? If it were true then
the terrorists would have targeted the
Statue of Liberty? Instead they targeted
the Pentagon and the World Trade Center--symbols,
not of liberty, but of American military
and financial might.
As
a citizen of India, a country that has
eagerly embraced these same liberal, democratic
ideals for a half century, I can say unhesitatingly
that people overseas admire America for
its open, free society. Nor are the American
people the objects of hostility. The world
admires and loves the incredible achievements
of America’s scientists, artists, writers,
and filmmakers. Last month people around
the world were also moved by the courage
of New York’s firemen and rescue workers.
Most
Americans do not know that for over a
decade we in India have been victims of
Taliban trained terrorism that has taken
hundreds of innocent lives. Two years
ago Osama bin Laden announced from his
hideout in the mountains deserts of Afghanistan,
"India and America are my biggest
enemies and all mujahideen groups in Pakistan
should come together to target them."
Since then I have wondered why he
singled out India
and America as his targets.
It
is also tragic irony that faceless terrorists
in Kashmir had set September 11—-the same
dreadful day--as the deadline for what
women could wear. Tailors in the valley
had been busy making burqas for weeks.
But an innocent 15-year-old girl, whose
tailor failed to meet the deadline, found
acid sprayed on her face as she was rushing
home from school. She lost an eye and
her pretty face was disfigured for life.
It
is tempting to believe that India and
America the prime targets of Osama and
the Taliban because they are
open, pluralistic, and liberal societies.
Both have to constantly appease minorities
and they present a constant challenge
to fundamentalists, who are more comfortable
in monolithic states with one religion,
one language, and one mind. (Indeed, both
Hindu and Muslim fundamentalists have
this problem in India.)
Yet,
I believe, it is wrong to blame freedom,
democracy and the open society for the
September 11 suicide attacks on America.
Powerful and large nations have always
been envied. They are symbols of arrogance,
distrust, and fear. When the powerful
get into trouble there is an understandable
feeling of glee—an expression of “well,
they
deserved it”. For example, Mexicans express
this envious feeling towards their powerful
neighbor to the north: “Too close to America
and too far from God”. But it is difficult
to imagine that such envious feelings
were the recent events. There must be
another reason.
It
is easy to see this as a clash of civilizations.
Islamic people are angry over America’s
consistent support to Israel in the Palestine
dispute. They are upset that half a million
Iraqi children have died as a result of
American economic sanctions. They are
consumed by the irony that Taliban and
Osama bin Laden are America’s creation
from the forgotten days of the Cold War.
Islam also has an old tradition of jihad
against infidels, but the fact is that
the average person in Islam is moderate,
and not very different from average human
beings. They do not hate America enough
to condone the terrible tragedy of September
11, and American leaders have rightly
pointed out this is not a war against
Islam.
I
could be wrong, and many Americans may
find this unpalatable, but I think one
has to look to the American government’s
record during the Cold War to explain
the present situation. One has to remember
the millions who were killed in Korea,
Vietnam, and Cambodia; the thousands who
died in Lebanon in 1982 and the hundreds
of thousands during Operation Desert Storm
in Iraq; the countless millions who were
victims of American government supported
dictators in Haiti, Chile, Nicaragua,
and El Salvador. It is this disregard
for non-American lives that might begin
to explain why America is so hated around
the world.
The
present administration is in a difficult
situation. The world approves the legitimate
hunt for Osama bin Laden and applauds
the will to destroy terrorist networks.
But the risk to America is that wars have
their own logic and innocent lives are
inevitably lost. Having once contributed
to Afganistan’s tragedy by creating the
Taliban, America does not want to be remembered
once again for creating enormous human
suffering among innocent people. That
would be counter-productive, and only
reinforce the antipathy that brought about
the present situation.
TERRORISM, DEMOCRACY,
& CAPITALISM
On
Tuesday September 11th I was
visiting my aged mother in a village in
northwest India, at her guru’s ashram
by the banks of the river Beas, when my
son called from China. “Turn on the TV,”
he said, and we began to watch in stunned
disbelief the barbarous tragedy unfolding
on the other side of the globe. The second
tower of New York’s World Trade Center
came down before our eyes. After the initial
horror had passed, I felt like many Indians
that perhaps now the world might begin
to understand what we have been going
through. For over a decade we have been
victims of Taliban trained terrorism that
has taken hundreds of innocent lives.
Ironically, the same dreadful Tuesday
was the deadline given by faceless terrorists
to force women in Kashmir to cover themselves
in veils. Tailors in the valley had been
busy for weeks, but they could not catch
up with the demand for burqas. An innocent
15 year old girl, whose tailor failed
to meet the 11 September deadline, found
acid sprayed on her face as she was rushing
home from school. She lost an eye and
her pretty face was disfigured for life.
Two
years ago Osama bin Laden had announced
from his hideout in the mountains deserts
of Afghanistan, “India and America are
my biggest enemies and all mujahideen
groups in Pakistan should come together
to target them.” Why are India and America
the prime targets of Osama and the Taliban?
It is because they are the most pluralistic
societies and share the same ideals and
liberal values. America is the oldest
modern nation, and India is one of the
world’s oldest civilizations. They are
the two largest democracies in the world.
They are also the only two nations, as
far as I know, where democracy has preceded
capitalism.
Migrations
of diverse people have created both America
and India. America is a nation of immigrants
and the historic wanderings of many peoples
and tribes of Asia over thousands of years
created India. America dealt with its
diversity historically through the “melting
pot”; India accommodated its migrant minorities
through the caste system, which made it
possible for a vast variety of people
to live together in a single social system.
Today, India and America have emerged
as unusually open pluralistic societies
and diversity is their most vital metaphor.
Both present a challenge to fundamentalists,
who are only comfortable in monolithic
states with one religion, one language,
and one mind. Indeed, India faces this
problem with its own Hindu and Muslim
fundamentalists. These societies are vulnerable
to terrorists because they are so open.
The
U.S. got democracy in 1776 but it did
not embrace full-blooded capitalism until
the early 19th century with the industrial
revolution. India became a full-fledged
democracy in 1950, with universal suffrage
and extensive human rights, but it was
not until 1991 that it opened up to a
freer play of capitalist forces. For the
rest of the world it has been the other
way around. Suffrage and rights were gradually
extended in Europe and they altered
the capitalist institutions that had come
up after the industrial revolution. This
historic inversion has made all the difference,
and it goes a long way to explain these
two noisy targets of terrorism.
In the past half-century, Indians went
to the school of democracy. They learned
to change their governments periodically
and peacefully; they gave free reign to
their litigious natures and pushed the
courts to the limit; they created a vigorous
free press and more recently a lively
electronic media; and they began to internalize
the rule of law. As a result, diverse
voices have risen, backward castes have
come forward, a more pluralistic middle
class has developed, and there is a greater
balance of opportunity.
While they were at the school of political
liberty, Indians however gradually lost
their economic liberty to a domineering
socialist state. Hence, they failed to
create an industrial revolution, though
the farmers did manage to create a green
revolution. But this changed in 1991 and
since then India’s economy has grown 6.4
percent a year (and 7.5 percent for three
years in a row), making it one of the
ten fastest growing economies in the world.
More recently, population growth has begun
to slow, and in 1998 it was down to 1.7
percent compared to an historic 2.2 percent
growth rate. Literacy has climbed to 65
percent in 2000 compared to 52 percent
in 1990, with women and the backward states
registering the biggest gains. More than
120 million Indians have pulled themselves
out of poverty in the past decade as the
poverty ratio has declined to 26 percent.
And India may have finally found its competitive
advantage in its booming software and
IT services.
If the economy continues to grow at this
rate for the next two to three decades,
then half of India (that is, the west
and the south) should turn middle class
in the first quarter of this century and
the other half should get there in the
second quarter. If growth accelerates
to eight percent with greater reforms,
then this happy day will arrive sooner.
At that point poverty will not vanish,
but the poor will come down to a manageable
10-15 percent of the population, and the
politics of the country will also change.
By 2025, India will see its share of world
product rise from 6 to 13 percent, making
it the third largest economy in the world.
By then India and China will account for
39 percent share of global output, which
is about equal to the present share of
United States and Europe combined.
The curious
inversion between democracy and capitalism
means, however, that India's future will
not be a creation of unbridled capitalism,
but it will evolve through a daily dialogue
between the conservative forces of caste,
religion and the village, the leftist
and Nehruvian socialist forces which dominated
the intellectual life of the country for
40 years, and the new forces of global
capitalism. These “million negotiations
of democracy,” the plurality of interests,
the contentious nature of the people implies
that the pace of economic reforms will
be slow and incremental. It also suggests
that India might have a more stable, peaceful,
and negotiated transition into the future
than say China. Equally, it will avoid
some of the deleterious side effects of
an unprepared capitalist society, such
as Russia. Although slower, India is more
likely to preserve its way of life and
it’s civilization of diversity, tolerance,
and spirituality against the onslaught
of the global culture.
Despite appalling governance, corruption,
and the indecisiveness of their democracy,
most Indians believe that their plural,
democratic and capitalist society is worth
fighting for, because it offers the promise
of preserving and enlarging human freedoms,
creating prosperity, diminishing poverty,
and upholding the dignity of a human being,
and it does it better than any other system
that human beings have tried so far.
Because India is unique in this, like
America, it is vulnerable to terrorists.
Jagdish Bhagwati, In Defence of
Globalization, Oxford University
Press, New York, 2004, 308 pages, $28.
This
book has arrived not a day too late. A
lot of rubbish has been floating in the
air ever since May 13, when our election
results came out. Silly ideas, discredited
years ago, have been revived and assiduously
marketed by the left, creating the illusion
that India’s centre of gravity had shifted
against the global market system. To those
who are undecided in this battle of ideas
Jagdish Bhagwati’s charming and highly
readable, In Defence of Globalization,
offers well thought out answers to the
questions that have been raised over the
past six weeks.
Jagdish Bhagwati is a distinguished economics
professor at Columbia University, a former
Adviser to the United Nations on Globalization,
and one of the world’s authorities on
international trade. He was one of the
first persons to raise serious questions
about the premises of Nehruvian socialism
in the sixties. In his book with Padma
Desai, India: Planning for Industrialization
(OUP, 1970) he described how India was
steadily degenerating into a “license
raj”. A generation later, the same
sorts of do gooders are blaming global
capitalism for worsening poverty, for
child labour, for degrading our environment,
for cultural homogenisation and many of
the world’s ills. In this book Bhagwati
seriously takes on the bogus arguments
of the anti-globalization movement and
shows them for what they are--a threat
to human development. He argues that globalization
is not the problem but the solution, and
he does it with wit and humour.
In
recent weeks the Left in India has stridently
argued that the economic reforms need
a human face. Bhagwati shows that global
capitalism does have a human face and
he demonstrates its beneficial effects
on poverty, child labour, women’s rights,
and host of social issues. The left argues
that growth by itself will not create
enough jobs or alleviate poverty. Bhagwati
shows that growth is the principal
means of reducing poverty. He illustrates
this with the examples of China and India.
Since
1980, China and India have been among
the fastest growing economies in the world
and both have reduced poverty spectacularly.
China’s poverty ratio declined from 28
percent in 1978 to 9 percent in 1998,
according to the Asian Development Bank.
India’s poverty fell from 51 percent in
1978-79 to 26 percent in 1999-2000, according
to official Indian data. In contrast,
for a quarter century before this, when
our growth was an abysmal 3.5 percent
poverty, poverty had obdurately hovered
around 55 percent. China had the same
experience in its pre-reform period. As
a result of high growth in Asia,
Sala-I-Martin’s huge 97 country study,
concludes that the poor in Asia as a whole
declined to 15 percent of the world’s
poor in 1998 (from 76 percent in the 1970s)
while they rose in Africa from 11 percent
in the 1970s to 66 percent of the world’s
poor by 1998. Surjit Bhalla’s and Dollar
and Kraay’s recent work has come to the
same conclusion.
I
had a sense of déjà vu as I noted Bhagwati
demolishing the same arguments of the
anti-globalizers that India’s reformers
had faced in the early nineties when India
began to seriously reform its economy.
When we liberalised the rupee, the left
warned us about a flight of capital, as
rich Indians would run away with their
money. The opposite happened, in fact,
and our reserves shot up from $1 billion
to $117 billion today. When our tariffs
began to come down and import licensing
was scrapped, the left prophesied that
India would be flooded with luxury goods,
and there wouldn’t be any foreign exchange
to buy capital goods for our industry.
Again the opposite happened; with declining
tariffs, India became more competitive,
and our exports grew.
When
we lowered tax rates, the left forecast
that our government would be reduced to
a pauper; instead, government revenues
shot up and income tax has consistently
grown faster than our GDP since the reforms.
When we liberalised foreign investment,
the left predicted that predatory multinationals
would swamp Indian businesses and our
industry would be destroyed. None of this
has happened, and Indian brands are thriving
in many product categories. In fact, our
worry is that we are not getting enough
foreign direct investment. Forget China,
countries much smaller than us—Vietnam,
Malaysia, Thailand, Poland—attract far
more foreign investment.
Given
this terrible track record of the left,
why should we should we now listen to
it? It has been consistently wrong. It
has always led us astray, and it now wants
to bring back the sort of policies that
made India, “the world’s greatest
under-achiever” in the words of the Economist.
Is it surprising that the markets continue
to be spooked by the Common Minimum Program?
I sometimes don’t know who is more likely
to destroy our future--the lunatics of
the left or the fascists on the right.
BIBLIO
ESSAY
Medha
M. Kudaisya, The life and Times of G.D.
Birla, Oxford University Press, New Delhi,
2003, 434 pages, Rs
Owning
a dynamic, indigenous entrepreneurial
group like the Marwaris would seem to
give India a competitive advantage in
the world economy, yet the Marwari has
never quite won the respect from Indian
society that he has yearned for. Most
Indians know him as the furtive shopkeeper
around the corner. Like the Jew in old
Europe he is the moneylender of last resort,
who charges extortionate interest and
dispossesses widows of their land and
jewellery when the loan is not repaid.
Or he is perceived as the ruthless tycoon
who did not stop at anything, including
the pre-empting of licences during the
hypocritical forty years of the Licence
Raj.
The
story of the Marwaris is a fascinating
tale of how a tiny community from the
desert sands of Rajasthan spread out to
every corner of north, west, and central
India, settling in thousands of villages
and towns in the 19th century. With their
enormous appetite for risk, Marwaris seized
control of India’s inland trade, then
gradually turned to industry after the
First World War, and as recently as 1997
they controlled roughly half the nation’s
private industrial assets. Although the
profile of Indian business has begun to
change with our success in information
technology, but in 1997 fifteen of the
twenty largest industrial houses were
of vaishya or bania trading caste, and
eight were Marwari. The question is what
made them so spectacularly successful?
The
answer to that question will not be found
in Medha Kudaisya’s fine book, The
Life and Times of G.D.Birla. There
are hints, however. It had something to
do with their wonderful support system.
When a Marwari travelled on business,
his wife and children were cared for in
a joint family at home. Wherever he went
in search of trade, he found shelter and
good Marwari food in a basa, a
sort of collective hostel run on a co-operative
basis or as a philanthropy by local Marwari
merchants. Ghanshyam Das (GD) Birla’s
grandfather, Shiv Narian, the founder
of the Birla Empire, settled in a basa
when he first came to Bombay in the
1860s. When the Marwari needed money,
he borrowed from another Marwari trader
on the understanding that the loan was
payable on demand, “even at midnight,”
and he would reciprocate with a similar
loan. At the end of the year, they tallied
and settled the interest. He could count
on community banks to insure his goods
in transit and collect his dues when the
goods arrived. His sons and nephews were
apprenticed to other Marwari traders,
where they earned their salary through
profit sharing, learned business skills,
and accumulated capital to start their
own business when they were ready.
The
Marwaris achieved their biggest successes
in the British trading post of Calcutta.
They smelled the chance for big money
and they flocked there to become brokers
and agents to the British (who called
them “banians”.) Ramdutt Goenka was a
typical example. He came to Calcutta in
1830. Starting as a clerk to a Marwari
firm, he gradually became a broker to
the major English firms. Nathuram Saraf
began as a clerk in Ramdutt Goenka’s firm
and he graduated to become a “banian”
to other British firms. He opened a free
hostel for migrants from the Shekhavati
area of Rajasthan and GD Birla used to
say that this hostel spawned many entrepreneurial
careers. At night, the young apprentices
would exchange stories of their commercial
exploits of the day and draw lessons from
them. Some of these stories became legendary.
Passed on by word of mouth for generations,
it was their version of Harvard Business
School cases. The arrival of the Delhi-Calcutta
railway in the 1860s quickened the migration
to Calcutta and by the turn of the century,
Marwaris had become dominant in the jute
and cotton trade. During World War I,
they made spectacular profits speculating
in cotton, jute and hessian, and these
profits laid the foundation for many industrial
careers after the War.
Marwaris are socially conservative, and
that too might help to explain their success.
They took to English education much later
than most other communities like the Bengalis
or Punjabis, for example. But now their
children routinely get MBAs and have a
similar way of life as the young in other
communities and as other young professionals.
Nevertheless, they continue to be more
religious and tradition continues to have
a greater hold. Although professional
executives run their businesses, most
of them are from their community. Although
they engage in the most sophisticated
enterprises, their strength lies in the
way they use old family networks and traditional
accounting and financial controls. The
Birlas, for example, continue to monitor
the financial performance of their companies
on a daily basis.
Medha
Kudaisya’s The Life and Times of G.D.Birla
is a sober, scholarly work, whose
biggest strength is that it is among the
first business biographies that is not
a hagiography. It grew out of a PhD thesis
for Cambridge University, and it is well
researched, based for the first time on
unrestricted access to Birla private papers.
It offers a ringside view of the political
and economic forces that have shaped our
country in the 20th century,
including the funding of the nationalist
movement and the Congress Party. There
are fascinating insights, for example,
into the attempts at “reform by stealth”
during the brief period that Lal Bahadur
Shashtri was Prime Minister. GD Birla,
more than anyone could see what “a precious
opportunity had been lost” when Shastri
died prematurely. I try to imagine, what
sort of nation we might have been had
the 1991 reforms begun in 1965! This has
to be one of the tantalising ‘what ifs’
of Indian history.
Kudiasya poignantly describes the slow
decline of GD Birla’s stature in national
life after the death of his Sardar Patel,
whose advisor and protégé he was. However,
this did not necessarily reflect in the
decline of his economic fortunes (with
the exception of the nationalisation of
Bharat Airways and his insurance company).
Kudaisya describes in some detail how
he moved with strategic foresight into
basic industries after Independence, and
the heartbreaking episode concerning the
rejection of his Durgapur steel plant
after so much work had gone into it. If
his aluminium company, Hindalco, is anything
to go by, he would have created a world
class steel company as well. Today, after
liberlisation, Hindalco is the lowest
cost producer of aluminium and is one
of our best companies. Just as Tata Steel
is world class today; so too might have
been Birla Steel; instead we are saddled
with the unmanageable public sector company,
Sail, which continues to struggle and
keeps guzzling public money.
The
best part of the book is the account of
Birla’s growing relationship with Madan
Mohan Malviya and Lala Lajpatrai and his
growing involvement in nationalistic politics,
culminating in his close relationship
with Mahatma Gandhi. Equally noteworthy
is how he suffered during the Indira Gandhi
years when he was an easy target of any
young, unscrupulous socialist (like Chandrashekhar)
who wanted to make his mark in public
life. Morararji Desai, in particular,
comes out looking like an arrogant prig,
happy to take the money of industrialists
but without any grace or gratitude. Birla
was too much of an old style Congresswallah;
anyone else would have chucked up the
Congress Party after Shastri’s death,
when the rot began to set in, and joined
the Swatantra Party.
Nehru
was always suspicious of Birla, and not
only because he had been Sardar Patel’s
protégé. In Motilal’s and Jawaharlal’s
case it was a caste prejudice, reinforced
by the latter’s English education at Harrow
and Cambridge, where he acquired the English
upper class bias against trade and learned
socialism from the Fabians. When he came
to power in 1947, Nehru institutionalised
the prejudice into the mindset of the
national state. Lord Wavell, the British
Viceroy in the 1940s, also shared the
prejudice against Marwaris, who he thought
were like the Lombards and the Jews in
Europe. Nevertheless, he recognised G.D.
Birla’s uniqueness and he paid him
a huge compliment by
preferring him to JRD Tata as Queen Mary’s
companion for lunch in Bombay. JRD was
then the young head of the largest and
most respected business family, and Wavell
wrote:
I
think Queen Mary would find G.D. Birla
better company than J.R.D. Tata if she
wishes to invite one of them to lunch.
Tata is a pleasant enough fellow to meet,
but I have not found him communicative,
and as a casual acquaintance he is much
the same as any other wealthy young man
who has had a conventional type of education.
Birla has plenty to say, and whatever
one may think of Marwari businessmen and
their ways, he is well worth talking to.
I think Queen Mary would have a very dull
lunch with Tata and quite an interesting
one with Birla.
Mahatma Gandhi, a bania himself, had no
qualms about accepting money from Birla
or other businessmen. Nor was he contemptuous
of commerce like Nehru. He came from Gujarat,
which had many ports and vigorous commerce,
and where the merchant was held in higher
esteem. Gandhi believed that a businessman’s
wealth was not his own but held in trust
for the rest of society. Today’s business
titans of the new economy, men like Narayana
Murthy and Azim Premji, oddly enough are
closer to Gandhi’s way of thinking about
the place of business and wealth in society.
And fortunately, the old socialist attitudes
to business are practically dead in the
minds of the nation’s young, even though
they linger in the minds of the ruling
class, and this slows reform.
There are wonderful
moments in the book, especially the descriptions
of GD’s childhood in Pilani among women
and without men, where Vaishnav religion
pervaded the day. This religiosity never
left him, and the Gita in particular was
a great source of strength to GD during
crisis. The
men in the family were continuously away
in Bombay
and Calcutta, making their separate fortunes,
and expanding the family’s wealth, and
GD went to a local school, where there
were no books and classes were held in
the open air. In
the end, of course, the education he received
there was wholly inadequate, he realised,
and he plunged into reading English books
after he left Pilani. His proficiency
in English placed him in a privileged
position in the family firm from the beginning
because he could negotiate with English
brokers.
The weakness of the book—and it is a major
flaw—is the inability of the author to
tell us why GD succeeded in business.
How did the Birlas succeed in making so
much money? Why did they win when others
lost? I found it frustrating that there
is nothing to explain GD’s legendary ability
to hire, train, and retain so many managers
who ran his many companies when he was
busy with politics? Aditya Birla inherited
the same ability, and perhaps that is
why he was GD’s favourite and he got the
lion’s share of his empire. Equally disappointing
is her silence on the division of the
Birla companies. There was a real fight
and it caused so much heartburning and
she dismisses the whole thing in half
a page.
The
real failure of the book in the end is
that it does not uncover the man within.
This is not easily done, of course, because
GD was (and Marwaris, in general are)
secretive. Hence, he had thrown a challenge:
“Certainly, no Indian can write my biography
because biography isn’t an Indian skill,”
he had said to Ian Jack of London Times
in 1978. But it the job of biography ultimately,
isn’t it—to uncover the man within?
It is
true that Indians have traditionally not
accorded a high place to making money.
It is also true that a certain
amount of antipathy to business exists
in all societies. But Aditya, GD’s
grandson, could not understand why the
Indian public chose to target the Birlas
as the ugly face of big business. He thought
it unfair. After all, they had supported
the nationalist movement for independence;
they had invested huge sums in charities
and philanthropy; they had maintained
an austere and quiet life-style and reinvested
their entire surplus rather than consuming
it; they had come as close as anyone in
the practice of Mahatma Gandhi’s idea
of trusteeship—that the bania’s wealth
belongs to the community and the businessmen
is merely a trustee of this wealth during
his lifetime.
In
one of his letters, GD offered the following
advice to Aditya when he was studying
at MIT: “eat only vegetarian food, never
drink alcohol or smoke, keep early hours,
marry young, switch-off lights when leaving
the room, cultivate regular habits, go
for a walk everyday, keep in touch with
the family, and above all, don’t be extravagant.”
Aditya thought that his grandfather’s
advice symbolised the ethic of the Marwari
merchant, with restraint and austerity
its defining tone, not dissimilar to the
ethic of Protestant, Jewish, or Chinese
business families. It captured the spirit
of conservation that leads to accumulation.
With all this going for them, why should
the Birlas not be more esteemed?
Many
think that the Birlas, were the great
beneficiaries of the Licence Raj. They
point to the Hazari Committee which had
pointed a finger at the Birlas for pre-empting
20 per cent of all licenses awarded by
the government between 1957 and 1966.
From 20 companies in 1945 Birla companies
had grown to almost 150 by 1962, and wasn’t
this monopostic? I could not disagree
more with this popular misconception.
I believe the Birlas behaved in a rational
manner, as any businessman would towards
his competitor, and what was wrong was
not the behaviour of the Birlas but the
incentive system of the Licence Raj in
that hypocritical, ugly world that ended
in allowing our bureaucrats to kill our
industrial revolution at birth.
Far
from doing the Marwaris a favour, the
Licence Raj made the Marwaris lose touch
with the market. Competition is the great
school where companies acquire skills.
It is through intense rivalry in the market
place that businesses learn to improve
their products, hone their marketing skills,
and improve their systems in order to
become more responsive to the customer.
The Licence Raj, by eliminating competition,
distorted their behaviour and suppressed
their business skills and made Indian
businesses complacent and insensitive
to customer needs.
When
the economy opened in 1991 and markets
became increasingly competitive, many
old Marwari businesses were in trouble.
Some of these will never recover, but
for the others it has taken more than
a dozen years after the economic reforms
to become competitive. The shining example
is the Aditya Birla Group, the direct
inheritor of Ghanshyamdas Birla’s legacy,
now headed by Kumaramangalam Birla. Its
success is due to a great part to Aditya,
who decided not to invest in India in
the late sixties, when he realised the
monster of a political economy that Indira
Gandhi was creating, and which would not
allow an honest enterprise to exist in
India. He created instead a commercial
empire instead in highly competitive South
East Asia, which taught his managers competitive
skills that came in handy when India finally
opened up in 1991. Forty
years of Indian style socialism fortunately
was not able to destroy India's legendary
entrepreneurship, although it did distort
its behaviour.
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